Download Three Black Swans PDF

Three Black Swans

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Publisher : Delacorte Press
Release Date :
ISBN 13 : 037589568X
Pages : 288 pages
Rating : 4.6/5 (895 downloads)

Download Three Black Swans PDF Format Full Free by Caroline B. Cooney and published by Delacorte Press. This book was released on 2010-08-24 with total page 288 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Lives are in the balance in bestselling author Caroline B. Cooney’s newest young adult thriller, Three Black Swans. Missy and her cousin Claire are best friends who finish each other’s sentences and practically read each other’s minds. It’s an eerie connection—so eerie that Missy has questions she wants to put to her parents. But she’s afraid to ask. So when Missy hears an expert discussing newborn babies on the radio, it makes her wonder about her family. Missy just can’t let go of those nagging questions, and decides to use a school project about scientific hoaxes to try to uncover the answers. She enlists Claire to help. As part of the project the girls perform a dramatic scene that is captured on video at school. After the video is posted on YouTube, Missy and Claire realize that they’ve opened Pandora’s box and much more than they ever imagined has come out. Not only are their identities called into question, but so is the future of everyone involved. In this riveting, heartrending story by thriller author Caroline B. Cooney, the truth changes the lives of three families—as the bonds of blood must withstand the strains of long-hidden secrets that are at last revealed.


Download David Mitchell: Three bestselling novels, Cloud Atlas, Black Swan Green, and The Thousand Autumns of Jacob de Zoet PDF

David Mitchell: Three bestselling novels, Cloud Atlas, Black Swan Green, and The Thousand Autumns of Jacob de Zoet

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Publisher : Random House
Release Date :
ISBN 13 : 0812987004
Pages : 1344 pages
Rating : 4.0/5 (987 downloads)

Download David Mitchell: Three bestselling novels, Cloud Atlas, Black Swan Green, and The Thousand Autumns of Jacob de Zoet PDF Format Full Free by David Mitchell and published by Random House. This book was released on 2014-06-24 with total page 1344 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In one virtuosic, mind-bending novel after another, David Mitchell continues to strengthen his reputation as “one of the more fascinating and fearless writers alive” (Dave Eggers, The New York Times Book Review) and “the novelist who’s been showing us the future of fiction” (Ron Charles, The Washington Post). Now three of his acclaimed novels—Cloud Atlas, Black Swan Green, and The Thousand Autumns of Jacob de Zoet—are collected in one extraordinary eBook bundle. Don’t miss The Bone Clocks, David Mitchell’s epic new novel about a fifteen-year-old English runaway who slams the door on her old life only to stumble into a supernatural war of good and evil on the margins of our world. CLOUD ATLAS “Mitchell is, clearly, a genius. He writes as though at the helm of some perpetual dream machine.”—The New York Times Book Review In 1850, an American notary voyaging from the Chatham Isles to his home in California is befriended by a physician who begins to treat him for a rare species of brain parasite. In 1931 Belgium, a disinherited bisexual composer contrives his way into the household of an infirm maestro with a beguiling wife and a nubile daughter. On the West Coast in the 1970s, a troubled reporter stumbles upon a web of corporate greed and murder. The narrative jumps onward to an inglorious present-day England; to a Korean superstate of the near future where neocapitalism has run amok; and, finally, to a postapocalyptic Iron Age Hawaii in the last days of history—then boomerangs back through centuries and space, revealing how these disparate characters connect and how their fates intertwine. BLACK SWAN GREEN “As in the works of Thomas Pynchon and Herman Melville, one feels the roof of the narrative lifted off and oneself in thrall.”—Time Thirteen-year-old Jason Taylor lives in the sleepiest, muddiest village in a dying Cold War England, 1982. But over the course of a single year, Jason discovers a world that is anything but sleepy: a world of Kissingeresque realpolitik enacted in boys’ games on a frozen lake; of “nightcreeping” through the summer backyards of strangers; of the cruel, luscious Dawn Madden and her power-hungry boyfriend; of a certain Madame Eva van Outryve de Crommelynck, an elderly bohemian emigré; of first cigarettes, first kisses, first Duran Duran LPs, and first deaths; of Margaret Thatcher’s recession; of Gypsies camping in the woods and the hysteria they inspire; and, even closer to home, of a slow-motion divorce in four seasons. THE THOUSAND AUTUMNS OF JACOB DE ZOET “Mitchell’s masterpiece; and also, I am convinced, a masterpiece of our time.”—Richard Eder, The Boston Globe The year is 1799, the place Dejima in Nagasaki Harbor, the Japanese Empire’s single port and sole window onto the world, designed to keep the West at bay. To this place of devious merchants, deceitful interpreters, and costly courtesans comes Jacob de Zoet, a devout young clerk who has five years in the East to earn a fortune of sufficient size to win the hand of his wealthy fiancée back in Holland. But Jacob’s original intentions are eclipsed after a chance encounter with Orito Aibagawa, the disfigured midwife to the city’s powerful magistrate. The borders between propriety, profit, and pleasure blur until Jacob finds his vision clouded, one rash promise made and then fatefully broken—the consequences of which will extend beyond Jacob’s worst imaginings.


Download Black Swan Lake PDF

Black Swan Lake

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Publisher : Intellect Books
Release Date :
ISBN 13 : 1841507040
Pages : 195 pages
Rating : 4.0/5 (57 downloads)

Download Black Swan Lake PDF Format Full Free by Rodney James Giblett and published by Intellect Books. This book was released on 2013 with total page 195 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Tracing the life of the plants and animals of Forrest dale Lake through the six seasons of the local indigenous people, the first part of Black Swan Lake presents a wetlands calendar over a yearly cycle of the rising, falling and drying waters of this internationally important wetland in south-western Australia. The second part of this book considers issues and explores themes from the first part, including a cultural history of the seasons and the black swan. Black Swan Lake is a book of nature writing and environmental history and philosophy arising from living in a particular place with oth.


Download Black Swan Class Sloops PDF

Black Swan Class Sloops

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Publisher : Seaforth Publishing
Release Date :
ISBN 13 : 1526765977
Pages : 128 pages
Rating : 4.9/5 (765 downloads)

Download Black Swan Class Sloops PDF Format Full Free by Les Brown and published by Seaforth Publishing. This book was released on 2019-11-30 with total page 128 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The technical details of British warships were recorded in a set of plans produced by the builders on completion of every ship. Known as the ‘as fitted’ general arrangements, these drawings represented the exact appearance and fitting of the ship as it entered service. Intended to provide a permanent reference for the Admiralty and the dockyards, these highly detailed plans were drawn with exquisite skill in multi-coloured inks and washes that represent the acme of the draughtsman’s art. Today they form part of the incomparable collection of the National Maritime Museum at Greenwich, which is using the latest scanning technology to make digital copies of the highest quality. This book is one of a series based entirely on these draughts which depict famous warships in an unprecedented degree of detail – complete sets in full colour, with many close-ups and enlargements that make every aspect clear and comprehensible. Extensive captions point the reader to important features to be found in the plans, and an introduction covers the background to the design. This volume is devoted to the sloops of the _Black Swan_ class and its improved derivatives, widely regarded as the ‘Rolls-Royce’ of Second World War convoy escorts. Heavily armed and superbly equipped for their role, they were among the most effective anti-submarine ships of the battle in the Atlantic. The design was gradually improved and this book uses plans of four selected ships to chart that development. These comprise: _Black Swan_ as built; _Flamingo_ as modified later; _Starling_, the single most successful U-boat hunter of the war, as in 1943; and _Amethyst_, as refitted after her clash with Chinese communists on the Yangtze in 1949.


Download SUMMARY - The Black Swan: The Impact Of The Highly Improbable By Nassim Nicholas Taleb PDF

SUMMARY - The Black Swan: The Impact Of The Highly Improbable By Nassim Nicholas Taleb

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Publisher : Shortcut Edition
Release Date :
ISBN 13 :
Pages : 35 pages
Rating : 4./5 ( downloads)

Download SUMMARY - The Black Swan: The Impact Of The Highly Improbable By Nassim Nicholas Taleb PDF Format Full Free by Shortcut Edition and published by Shortcut Edition. This book was released on 2021-06-17 with total page 35 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: * Our summary is short, simple and pragmatic. It allows you to have the essential ideas of a big book in less than 30 minutes. By reading this summary, you will discover a new way of understanding uncertainty through the concept of the Black Swan. You will also discover : that the Black Swan is a surprising, unpredictable event with far-reaching consequences; why you fail to make predictions; that you are wrong to trust those you consider to be experts in their field; that you can take advantage of uncertainty. The world is made of uncertainties, but man continues to seek to understand and predict it. The more informed society is, the more expert it thinks it is and the more capable it is of understanding the world. However, when it discovers that not all swans are white, its very notion of knowledge is turned upside down. This event, which was very unlikely and with strong consequences, is called by Nassim Nicholas Taleb the "Black Swan". It can lead to success or failure and can make history. How can you approach this phenomenon and take advantage of it in your personal life? *Buy now the summary of this book for the modest price of a cup of coffee!


Download Simulation of Dynamic Systems with MATLAB® and Simulink® PDF

Simulation of Dynamic Systems with MATLAB® and Simulink®

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Publisher : CRC Press
Release Date :
ISBN 13 : 1498787789
Pages : 852 pages
Rating : 4.7/5 (787 downloads)

Download Simulation of Dynamic Systems with MATLAB® and Simulink® PDF Format Full Free by Harold Klee and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2018-02-02 with total page 852 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Continuous-system simulation is an increasingly important tool for optimizing the performance of real-world systems. The book presents an integrated treatment of continuous simulation with all the background and essential prerequisites in one setting. It features updated chapters and two new sections on Black Swan and the Stochastic Information Packet (SIP) and Stochastic Library Units with Relationships Preserved (SLURP) Standard. The new edition includes basic concepts, mathematical tools, and the common principles of various simulation models for different phenomena, as well as an abundance of case studies, real-world examples, homework problems, and equations to develop a practical understanding of concepts.


Download Dynamic Risk Analysis in the Chemical and Petroleum Industry PDF

Dynamic Risk Analysis in the Chemical and Petroleum Industry

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Publisher : Butterworth-Heinemann
Release Date :
ISBN 13 : 0128038233
Pages : 284 pages
Rating : 4.2/5 (38 downloads)

Download Dynamic Risk Analysis in the Chemical and Petroleum Industry PDF Format Full Free by Nicola Paltrinieri and published by Butterworth-Heinemann. This book was released on 2016-08-06 with total page 284 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Dynamic Risk Analysis in the Chemical and Petroleum Industry focuses on bridging the gap between research and industry by responding to the following questions: What are the most relevant developments of risk analysis? How can these studies help industry in the prevention of major accidents? Paltrinieri and Khan provide support for professionals who plan to improve risk analysis by introducing innovative techniques and exploiting the potential of data share and process technologies. This concrete reference within an ever-growing variety of innovations will be most helpful to process safety managers, HSE managers, safety engineers and safety engineering students. This book is divided into four parts. The Introduction provides an overview of the state-of-the-art risk analysis methods and the most up-to-date popular definitions of accident scenarios. The second section on Dynamic Risk Analysis shows the dynamic evolution of risk analysis and covers Hazard Identification, Frequency Analysis, Consequence Analysis and Establishing the Risk Picture. The third section on Interaction with Parallel Disciplines illustrates the interaction between risk analysis and other disciplines from parallel fields, such as the nuclear, the economic and the financial sectors. The final section on Dynamic Risk Management addresses risk management, which may dynamically learn from itself and improve in a spiral process leading to a resilient system. Helps dynamic analysis and management of risk in chemical and process industry Provides industry examples and techniques to assist you with risk- based decision making Addresses also the human, economic and reputational aspects composing the overall risk picture


Download The Black Swan Problem PDF

The Black Swan Problem

Author :
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Release Date :
ISBN 13 : 1119868149
Pages : 240 pages
Rating : 4.1/5 (868 downloads)

Download The Black Swan Problem PDF Format Full Free by Hakan Jankensgard and published by John Wiley & Sons. This book was released on 2022-05-09 with total page 240 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: An incisive framework for companies seeking to increase their resilience In The Black Swan Problem: Risk Management Strategies for a World of Wild Uncertainty, renowned risk and finance expert Håkan Jankensgård delivers an extraordinary and startling discussion of how firms should navigate a world of uncertainty and unexpected events. It examines three fundamental, high-level strategies for creating resilience in the face of “black swan” risks, highly unlikely but devastating events: insurance, buffering, and flexibility: The author also presents: Detailed case studies, stories, and examples of major firms that failed to anticipate Black Swan Problems and, as a result, were either wiped out or experienced a major strategy disruption Extending the usual academic focus on individual biases to analyze Swans from an organizational perspective and prime organizations to proactive rather than reactive action Practical applications and tactics to mitigate Black Swan risks and protect corporate strategies against catastrophic losses and the collateral damage that they cause Strategies and tools for turning Black Swan events into opportunities, reflecting the fact that resilience can be used for strategic advantage An expert blueprint for companies seeking to anticipate, mitigate, and process tail risks, The Black Swan Problem is a must-read for students and practitioners of risk management, executives, founders, managers, and other business leaders.


Download Prognostics and Remaining Useful Life (RUL) Estimation PDF

Prognostics and Remaining Useful Life (RUL) Estimation

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Publisher : CRC Press
Release Date :
ISBN 13 : 1000518264
Pages : 489 pages
Rating : 4.2/5 (518 downloads)

Download Prognostics and Remaining Useful Life (RUL) Estimation PDF Format Full Free by Diego Galar and published by CRC Press. This book was released on 2021-12-15 with total page 489 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Maintenance combines various methods, tools, and techniques in a bid to reduce maintenance costs while increasing the reliability, availability, and security of equipment. Condition-based maintenance (CBM) is one such method, and prognostics forms a key element of a CBM program based on mathematical models for predicting remaining useful life (RUL). Prognostics and Remaining Useful Life (RUL) Estimation: Predicting with Confidence compares the techniques and models used to estimate the RUL of different assets, including a review of the relevant literature on prognostic techniques and their use in the industrial field. This book describes different approaches and prognosis methods for different assets backed up by appropriate case studies. FEATURES Presents a compendium of RUL estimation methods and technologies used in predictive maintenance Describes different approaches and prognosis methods for different assets Includes a comprehensive compilation of methods from model-based and data-driven to hybrid Discusses the benchmarking of RUL estimation methods according to accuracy and uncertainty, depending on the target application, the type of asset, and the forecast performance expected Contains a toolset of methods and a way of deployment aimed at a versatile audience This book is aimed at professionals, senior undergraduates, and graduate students in all interdisciplinary engineering streams that focus on prognosis and maintenance.


Download The Black Swan: Second Edition PDF

The Black Swan: Second Edition

Author :
Publisher : Random House
Release Date :
ISBN 13 : 0679604189
Pages : 482 pages
Rating : 4.1/5 (64 downloads)

Download The Black Swan: Second Edition PDF Format Full Free by Nassim Nicholas Taleb and published by Random House. This book was released on 2010-05-11 with total page 482 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The most influential book of the past seventy-five years: a groundbreaking exploration of everything we know about what we don’t know, now with a new section called “On Robustness and Fragility.” A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don’t know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the “impossible.” For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb will change the way you look at the world, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, “On Robustness and Fragility,” which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a landmark book—itself a black swan.


Download Future Keepers PDF

Future Keepers

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Publisher : Fremantle Press
Release Date :
ISBN 13 : 1925591859
Pages : 112 pages
Rating : 4.8/5 (591 downloads)

Download Future Keepers PDF Format Full Free by Nandi Chinna and published by Fremantle Press. This book was released on 2019-06-01 with total page 112 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: The poems in The Future Keepers honour ecosystems and thecustodians of future ecologies. They navigate the poet’s ownembodied experiences of change and succession – of family,community and place. From the research scientists, gardeners, birdsand plants of Kings Park, to the activism and ecosystems of the BeeliarWetlands, to the poet’s own inherited landscapes, these poems evokemutuality and exchange in speaking of the gifts we receive from beingopen to encounters with other species, and the reciprocity that thesegifts imply.


Download Bert's Hunch PDF

Bert's Hunch

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Publisher : Bert's Books
Release Date :
ISBN 13 :
Pages : 89 pages
Rating : 4./5 ( downloads)

Download Bert's Hunch PDF Format Full Free by Albert Anthony D. Gavino and published by Bert's Books. This book was released on 2020-08-10 with total page 89 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Random stories and musings from a Data Scientist discussing everyday things and insights during a time of a Pandemic set at Manila, Philippines.


Download Identifying and Managing Project Risk PDF

Identifying and Managing Project Risk

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Publisher : AMACOM
Release Date :
ISBN 13 : 0814413412
Pages : 400 pages
Rating : 4.4/5 (413 downloads)

Download Identifying and Managing Project Risk PDF Format Full Free by Tom Kendrick and published by AMACOM. This book was released on 2009-02-27 with total page 400 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Winner of the Project Management Institute’s David I. Cleland Project Management Literature Award 2010 It’s no wonder that project managers spend so much time focusing their attention on risk identification. Important projects tend to be time constrained, pose huge technical challenges, and suffer from a lack of adequate resources. Identifying and Managing Project Risk, now updated and consistent with the very latest Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK)® Guide, takes readers through every phase of a project, showing them how to consider the possible risks involved at every point in the process. Drawing on real-world situations and hundreds of examples, the book outlines proven methods, demonstrating key ideas for project risk planning and showing how to use high-level risk assessment tools. Analyzing aspects such as available resources, project scope, and scheduling, this new edition also explores the growing area of Enterprise Risk Management. Comprehensive and completely up-to-date, this book helps readers determine risk factors thoroughly and decisively...before a project gets derailed.


Download Risk, Surprises and Black Swans PDF

Risk, Surprises and Black Swans

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Publisher : Routledge
Release Date :
ISBN 13 : 1317626311
Pages : 276 pages
Rating : 4.3/5 (626 downloads)

Download Risk, Surprises and Black Swans PDF Format Full Free by Terje Aven and published by Routledge. This book was released on 2014-08-13 with total page 276 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Risk, Surprises and Black Swans provides an in depth analysis of the risk concept with a focus on the critical link to knowledge; and the lack of knowledge, that risk and probability judgements are based on. Based on technical scientific research, this book presents a new perspective to help you understand how to assess and manage surprising, extreme events, known as ‘Black Swans’. This approach looks beyond the traditional probability-based principles to offer a broader insight into the important aspects of uncertain events and in doing so explores the ways to manage them. This book recognises the fundamental issues surrounding risk assessment and risk management to help you to understand and prepare for black swan events. Complete with international examples to illustrate ideas and concepts Integrates risk management and resilience based thinking Suitable for a variety of applications including engineering, finance and security.


Download Post office [afterw.] Kelly's directory of Hampshire, Dorsetshire, Wiltshire (the Isle of Wight, and the Channel Islands). PDF

Post office [afterw.] Kelly's directory of Hampshire, Dorsetshire, Wiltshire (the Isle of Wight, and the Channel Islands).

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Publisher :
Release Date :
ISBN 13 :
Pages : pages
Rating : 4./5 ( downloads)

Download Post office [afterw.] Kelly's directory of Hampshire, Dorsetshire, Wiltshire (the Isle of Wight, and the Channel Islands). PDF Format Full Free by Kelly's directories, ltd and published by . This book was released on 1880 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt:


Download Upside Down World PDF

Upside Down World

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Publisher : National Library Australia
Release Date :
ISBN 13 : 0642277060
Pages : 258 pages
Rating : 4.0/5 (277 downloads)

Download Upside Down World PDF Format Full Free by Penny Olsen and published by National Library Australia. This book was released on 2010-01-01 with total page 258 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Late eighteenth- and early nineteenth-century Eurocentric perceptions of natural history led to the flora and fauna of the new colony of New South Wales being viewed as deficient and inferior. The swans of the colony were black and eagles white, birds built shell-strewn avenues of sticks to cavort in and parrots walked on the ground. Olsen documents how our scientific knowledge evolved, using collectors' and naturalists' journals to enhance her stories.


Download The Political Economy of Electricity: Progressive Capitalism and the Struggle to Build a Sustainable Power Sector PDF

The Political Economy of Electricity: Progressive Capitalism and the Struggle to Build a Sustainable Power Sector

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Publisher : ABC-CLIO
Release Date :
ISBN 13 : 1440853436
Pages : 459 pages
Rating : 4.4/5 (853 downloads)

Download The Political Economy of Electricity: Progressive Capitalism and the Struggle to Build a Sustainable Power Sector PDF Format Full Free by Mark Cooper and published by ABC-CLIO. This book was released on 2017-04-24 with total page 459 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Providing critical insights that will interest readers ranging from economists to environmentalists, policymakers, and politicians, this book analyzes the economics and technology trends involved in the dilemma of decarbonization and addresses why aggressive policy is required in a capitalist political economy to create a sea change away from fossil fuels. • Presents comprehensive and understandable reviews of more than 200 recent empirical studies of market imperfections in the energy efficiency and climate change literature, providing a basis for targeting policies at the most important causes of poor market performance • Argues that aggressive action to induce change and overcome resistance, using targeted policies rather than broad-based taxes, is the strategy that will create movement towards a decarbonized economy and world • Provides a logical decision-making framework and portfolio analysis that enables policymakers and regulators to choose, explain, and defend their decisions, objectively and transparently